Boom-Bust Tracker
Where are we in the Alberta cycle? Oil price → jobs → migration → housing → everything. The pattern repeats — the timing varies.
Key Correlations
Broad Indicators
Historical Context
Alberta Bust History
Every bust follows the same pattern: oil drops → drilling stops → layoffs → migration reverses → housing softens → government cuts. The question is always: how deep and how long?
WTI: $147 → $32
Unemployment doubled to 7.5%. Housing prices fell 10-15%. Interprovincial migration reversed.
WTI: $107 → $26
110,000 energy jobs lost. Calgary office vacancy hit 30%. Edmonton housing stagnated for 3 years.
WTI: $63 → negative briefly
Unemployment hit 15.4%. Short but severe. Recovery accelerated by post-COVID demand surge.
Coming Soon
Insolvency Filings
Consumer and business insolvency data from OSB — the stress indicator that spikes during busts.